Net Energy
GLOBAL CRISIS IS UNPRECEDENTED

The global economic order is structured and run as a dreamlike perpetual-motion machine in total ignorance of thermodynamics and systems dynamics.

 

A key issue is NET ENERGY. Net energy is the amount of energy that is available to power the global economy when all the direct and indirect energy costs of mining, processing, transporting and distributing energy resources has been deducted.

The essential technologies and know-how required for a transition to sustainable ways of living and doing business are known. The transition is feasible without the massive costs and without heavy-handed government policies.

This is a matter of cognitive failure; that is to say, the cognitive and cultural inability to figure out how to successfully meet the challenges within the necessary time frame despite the required knowledge and expertise being readily available. When cognitive failure happens to a given society, as it has happened many times historically in various localised fashions, that society simply crashes and usually never recovers. 
Source

EROEI Energy Return On Energy Invested

- it is really about the concepts of "no free lunch" and "break even"
  • The first oil in Texas in 1930's had ratio of 100:1
  • in 1970's production dropped to 30:1
  • by 2000 it was down to 18:1
  • Tars sand can only produce 5:1 and that is not economic
  • By around 2015- 2018 the energy return is on track to 1:1 i.e. zero net energy.
As EROEI declines, energy production must accelerate just to maintain the same net energy for society. If energy production cannot increase does that leave us looking for alternatives?  At less than 2:1 the status quo can't be maintained if EROEI continues to decline.
The Net Energy Trap in Brief
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For each unit of energy invested in extracting energy out of the earth we get only two units back
and this ratio is collapsing further

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We waste over 80% of the energy we use

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Our entire golbalised energy system depends on oil availability

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Oil availability is in the process of crashing down to 1/10 of present levels over the next 20 years
and we are desperate for alternative energy systems

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We have not invest energy to build the alternative systems required this should have do so 30 years ago.

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It takes over 40 years to develop and deploy alternative systems globally

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We no longer have enough net energy to both keep 6.7G people alive and invest in alternative systems - humankind is plunging into a trap it created for itself

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This is an emergency of a kind humankind has never encountered before!

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There are solutions but even in the best case scenarios it is becoming clear that not all of humankind will make it through

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The solutions require a entrepreneurial approach to maxamise speed

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Only this who take initiative now can hope to make it

What is Net Energy?

At zero net energy from oil and gas well things simply STOP:

Imagine life without cars, buses, trucks, trains, ships or planes. The world is largely unaware of just how dangerously close we are to such a situation. The energy crisis is immediate, a matter of a few years, not decades.

Currently the world is on track to reach close to nil net energy

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from fossil hydrocarbons (oil and natural gas) well before 2020 (i.e. before the recession clicked was around 2015, now it could be a bit later).

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all fossil fuels, i.e. including coal, humankind is on track to get to nil net energy before 2040 and probably before 2030.

Few people comprehend why and what this means.

We do not live on crude oil. We live on Joules of net energy produced and distributed to end users using raw materials like crude oil, raw natural gas and coal.

It costs energy to get energy.

As the easier sources of fossil fuels get used up, it costs more and more energy to get energy to a point when we reach nil net energy. That is the point when the amount of energy produced is the same as the amount invested to get it: there is zero net energy left to do anything else.

 

To calculate net energy it is necessary to take into consideration the indirect energy in the equipment and people involved in getting energy, i.e.

  • to mine the ore and coal,

  • to make the steel,

  • to make the machines,

  • to make the oil platforms,

  • the tankers,

  • the pipelines,

  • the refineries,

  • the finished products distribution networks,

  • the houses and equipment used by the people in the fossil fuel industries, etc., etc.

EROI
Energy Return On
Investment

1990's 40:1


2000's 10:1


2018   1:1

Energy Return On the energy Investment for oil and gas (EROI)
  • In the 1960’s the energy return was about 60:1

  • In the 1990’s the energy return went down to around 40:1;

  • In the 2000’s the energy return is now close to 10:1

  • By around 2015- 2018 the energy return is on track to 1:1 i.e. zero net energy.

Peak Oil doesn't mean 'running out of oil', but rather 'running out of cheap and plentiful oil'. Inexpensive oil supports our very way of life, as we know it. It is crucial for our transportation, food production, economy and basically everything that we use on a daily basis.

So whether people are aware of it, understand it, like it or not makes very little difference - humankind is on track to nil net energy within next 10 years!   

Unless we act swiftly............................

It is becoming a lot harder to maintain supplies relative to demand and the energy cost of getting those supplies can be expected to increase very fast. The current recession provides a bit of respite but only limited and temporary. According to many peak oil has been reached and the annual rate of output decline is now 9.1% per year and increasing, things get inevitably harder and harder.

Energywise the motor vehicle is less than 10% efficient in terms of using fossil fuels. We need alternative solutions, more efficient forms of transport and we need them fast and we have only 10 years to ensure continuing global mobility. To do this we need to re-engineer the motor vehicle to achieve high net energy returns on the energy investment and preferably go solar as fast as possible.

There is definitely no way that the higher net energy could be met in time with internal combustion engines as they are inherently grossly energy inefficient and the carbon footprint is huge. The same can be said for all the hybrids, electrical battery and other systems.

It is important to recognise that all engines in the world are, compressed gas engines. The compressed gases are used to push pistons or blades of a gas turbine. So a key issue is how best to make the compressed gases. Making them by burning a fuel inside an engine is grossly inefficient.

The solution of making compressed gases outside the engine and then improving the efficiency of the engines themselves without the constraint of an internal combustion chamber.

Heat compressed air using any source of heat, e.g. natural gas, LPG, petrol, diesel ethanol, bio-oils, etc., increases the volume of that compressed air at constant pressure by a factor of 2 to 5 depending on the temperature.

If the power of the engine is used to compress a small volume of air and heat this compressed air externally to the engine. The extra compressed air produced is then injected in the compressed air engine to run it. This give an energy balance that is roughly 1/3 of the power generated by the compressed air engine goes to compress the air that is then heated outside the engine while 2/3 are available at the crankshaft to power a vehicle or run an electrical generator.

IT-Sun has a way forward to achieve high net energy for both transportation and power generation combined with other technologies that will achieve a smooth transition from fossil fuels and rapidly attain 100% Solar & Sustainable transition. This would appear to be the central focus of IT-Sun Ltd.

IT-Sun's objective is to bring its customers to 100% Solar and Sustainable status in record time. They have THE KNOW HOW and TECHNOLOGY to achieve this.

You can find out more by visiting the website and reading Dr Louis Arnoux book
Peak Oil, Climate Change and All That Jazz, freely downloadable from the website: www.itmdi-energy.com


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